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Resumes of Principals


Mr. Paul H. Raab

Mr. Raab's consulting focus is on the regulated public utility industry. His experience includes mathematical and economic analyses and system development and his areas of expertise include regulatory change management, load forecasting, supply-side and demand-side planning, management audits, mergers and acquisitions, costing and rate design, and depreciation and life analysis.

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE

Mr. Raab has directed or has had a key role in numerous engagements in the areas listed above. Representative clients are provided for each of these areas in the subsections below.



Regulatory Change Management

Mr. Raab has recently been assisting both electric and natural gas utilities as they prepare to operate in an environment that is significantly different from the one they operate in today. This work has involved the development of unbundled cost of service studies; the development of strategies that will allow companies to prosper in a restructured industry; retail access program development, implementation, and evaluation; and the development of innovative ratemaking approaches to accompany changes in the regulatory structure. Representative clients for whom he has performed such work include:



Load Forecasting

Mr. Raab has broad experience in the review and development of forecasts of sales forecasts for electric and natural gas utilities. This work has also included the development of elasticity of demand measures that have been used for attrition adjustments and revenue requirement reconciliations. Representative clients for whom he has performed such work include:



Supply Side Planning

Mr. Raab has assisted clients to determine the most appropriate supply-side resources to meet future demands. This assistance has included the determination of optimal sizes and types of capacity to install, determination of production costs including and excluding the resource, and an assessment of system reliability changes as a result of different resource additions. Much of this work for the following clients has been done in conjunction with litigation:



Demand Side Planning

Demand Side Planning involves the forecasting of future demands; the design, development, implementation, and evaluation of demand side management programs; the determination of future supply side costs; and the integration of cost effective demand side management programs into an Integrated Least Cost Resource Plan. Mr. Raab has performed such work for the following clients:



Management Audits

Mr. Raab has been involved in a number of management audits. Consistent with his other experience, the focus of his efforts has been in the areas of load forecasting, demand- and supply-side planning, integrated resource planning, sales and marketing, and rates. Representative commission/utility clients are as follows:



Mergers and Acquisitions

Mr. Raab has been involved in a number of merger and acquisition studies throughout his career. Many of these were conducted as confidential studies and cannot be listed. Those in which his involvement was publicly known are:

Costing and Rate Design Analysis

Mr. Raab has prepared generic rate design studies for the National Governor's Conference, the Electricity Consumer's Resource Council, the Tennessee Valley Industrial Committee, the State Electricity Commission of Western Australia, and the State Electricity Commission of Victoria. These generic studies addressed advantages and disadvantages of alternative costing approaches in the electric utility industry; the strengths and weaknesses of commonly encountered costing methodologies; future tariff policies to promote equity, efficiency, and fairness criteria; and the advisability of changing tariff policies. Mr. Raab has performed specific costing and rate design studies for the following companies:

Depreciation and Life Analysis

Mr. Raab has extensive experience in depreciation and life analysis studies for the electric, gas, rail, and telephone industries and has taught a course on depreciation at George Washington University, Washington, DC. Representative clients in this area include:

TESTIMONY

The following table summarizes Mr. Raab's testimony experience.

Jurisdiction
Docket Number
Subject
District of Columbia

834
905
917
921
922
934
989

Demand Side Planning
Costing/Rate Design
Costing/Rate Design
Demand Side Planning
Rate Design
Rate Design
Costing/Rate Design
Indiana 36818 Capacity Planning
Kansas 174,155-U
176,716-U
98-KGSG-822-TAR
99-KGSG-705-GIG
01-KGSG-229-TAR
02-WSRE-301-RTS
Retail Competition
Costing/Rate Design
Restructuring/Rate Design
Restructuring
Rate Design
Cost of Service
Kentucky 9613
97-083
Capacity Planning
Management Audit
Louisiana U-21453 Restructuring/Market
Structure/Market Power
Maryland 8251
8259
8315
8720
8791
8920
Costing/Rate Design
Demand Side Planning
Costing/Rate Design
Demand Side Planning
Costing/Rate Design
Costing/Rate Design
Michigan U-6949 Load Forecasting
Missouri GR-2002-356 Rate Design
Nevada 81-660 Load Forecasting
New Jersey OAL# PUC 1876 82
BPU# 822 0116
Load Forecasting
New Mexico 2087 Capacity Planning
New York 27546 Costing/Rate Design
Ohio 81-1378-EL-AIR Load Forecasting
Oklahoma 27068 Capacity Planning
Tennessee PURPA Hearings Costing/Rate Design
US Tax Court 4870
4875
Life Analysis
Life Analysis
Virginia PUE900013
PUE920041
PUE940030
PUE940031
PUE950131
PUE-2002-00
Demand Side Planning
Costing/Rate Design
Costing/Rate Design
Costing/Rate Design
Capacity Planning
Costing/Rate Design
West Virginia 79-140-E-42T
90-046-E-PC
Capacity Planning
Demand Side Planning
Wisconsin 05-EP-2 Capacity Planning


In addition, Mr. Raab has presented expert testimony before the Michigan House Economic Development and Energy Committee and the Province of Saskatchewan. He is a member of the Advisory Board of the Expert Evidence Report, published by The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc.

EDUCATION

Mr. Raab holds a B.A. (with high distinction) in Economics from Rutgers University and an M.A. from SUNY at Binghamton with a concentration in Econometrics. While attending Rutgers, he studied as a Henry Rutgers Scholar.

PUBLICATIONS AND PRESENTATIONS

Mr. Raab has published in a number of professional journals and spoken at a number of industry conferences. His publications/ presentations include:






Mr. Yavuz Arik

Mr. Arik's consulting focus is on the regulated public utility industry and their information systems needs. He has over ten years of consulting experience in quantitative planning and modeling and information system design. His experience includes mathematical modeling, optimization, economic and econometric analyses and information systems development and his areas of expertise include regulatory change management, load forecasting, supply-side and demand-side planning, management audits, mergers and acquisitions, and costing and rate design.

Mr. Arik has developed the Resource Optimizing Gas Model (ROGM), a comprehensive gas optimization model to provide in-depth analysis for integrated least cost planning, demand-side management program evaluation, rate cases, marginal cost analysis, strategic resource planning, cost-of-service studies and unbundling studies. Clients are currently using ROGM over the Internet. Some of the studies based on this model have been filed with public service commissions. This model is used to analyze tradeoffs between reserve requirements, cost of gas supply, and resource acquisition and utilization for gas distribution companies by formulating the optimal usage mix of available resources.

Mr. Arik has also lead the development of the following information system models for various clients:



PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE

Over the past years, Mr. Arik has worked on numerous engagements involving regulatory change management, load forecasting, supply and demand side planning, management audits, costing and rate design analysis, and mergers and acquisitions. Representative clients are provided for each of these areas in the subsections below.

Regulatory Change Management

Mr. Arik has recently been assisting both electric and natural gas utilities as they prepare to operate in a restructured industry. This work has involved the development of unbundled cost of service studies (i.e. separation of transmission, distribution and energy costs); the development of strategies that will allow companies to prosper in a restructured industry; retail access program development, implementation, and evaluation; and the development of innovative ratemaking approaches to accompany changes in the regulatory structure. Representative clients for whom he has performed such work include:



Load Forecasting

Mr. Arik has prepared load forecasting studies for electric and natural gas utilities, including end-use models. These studies involve Monte Carlo simulations and time-series analysis to model probabilistic distributions of various scenarios. This work has also included the development of elasticity of demand measures that have been used for attrition adjustments and revenue requirement reconciliation. Representative clients for whom he has performed such work include:



Supply Side Planning

Mr. Arik has worked on several supply-side planning projects, involving the evaluation of short-term and long-term gas supply and resource plans using ROGM. These plans have included load forecasting, calculation of avoided costs, strategic resource acquisition, supply related contract evaluation, determination of optimal sizes and types of capacity to install, determination of production costs including and excluding the resource, and an assessment of system reliability changes as a result of different resource additions.

Management Audits

Mr. Arik has been involved in a number of management audits. Consistent with his other experience, the focus of his efforts has been in the areas of load forecasting, demand- and supply-side planning, and integrated resource planning. Demand-side planning involves the forecasting of future demands; the design, development, implementation, and evaluation of demand side management programs; the determination of future supply side costs; and the integration of cost effective demand side management programs into an Integrated Least Cost Resource Plan. Representative commission/utility clients are as follows:



Mergers and Acquisitions

Mr. Arik has been involved in a number of merger and acquisition studies throughout his career. Many of these were conducted as confidential studies and cannot be listed. Those in which his involvement was publicly known are:



Costing and Rate Design Analysis

Mr. Arik has used ROGM to conduct marginal cost, cost of service, gas supply and resource planning studies for utility clients. Various studies have been used for filings with public service commissions and for integrated resource planning. Mr. Arik has performed specific costing and rate design studies for the following companies:



EDUCATION

After graduating from Galatasaray Lycee in Istanbul, Turkey, Mr. Yavuz Arik earned a B.S. degree in Industrial Engineering from Bogazici University in Istanbul, Turkey and an M.A. in Economics from Georgetown University. Mr. Arik speaks Turkish, English and French fluently.